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Hampered by the recession, the natural personal care products market is getting back on track. But will cash-strapped consumers who switched back to conventional products return to naturals in 2011?
January 10, 2011
By: TOM BRANNA
Chief Content Officer
FOR THE PAST DECADE, consumers have migrated to products that boasted all kinds of natural extracts and botanicals beneficial to skin and hair, and even those less glamorous areas of personal upkeep like body odor and oral hygiene. And the rising tide of sentiment seemed to lift all boats—from the companies who made truly organic formulations to the so-called faux natural products, those that seemed to focus more on “green” marketing speak than the actual materials inside the bottle. Sales continued to rise, year after year after year, and new SKUs rolled out in rapid succession. But as the economy began to falter, so did sales of natural personal care products. According to market research firm Mintel, after growing by double digits between 2007 and 2008, natural/organic personal care (NOPC) sales declined 2% in 2009 to $462 million. But things could have been worse, if not for retail expansion and some very loyal consumers. Think back—natural personal care products were once relegated to the dusty aisles of the local independent health food market. Nowadays eco-friendly offerings can be found in most mass-market retailers and prestige outposts alike. As firms like Burt’s Bees and Tom’s of Maine expanded their presence in Walmart and Target, natural products became much more visible and accessible to the everyday consumer. In addition, industry observers say hard-core naturals buyers remained committed to the category, even as they tightened their purse strings toward the end of the decade. According to survey data from Mintel, 55% of current NOPC users said they are using more NOPC products than they were a year ago. “We find that the natural/organic consumers, if they are already engaged in the sector, haven’t changed their behavior too much in the recession, other than to trade down to private label,” said David Browne, senior analyst with Mintel. Those factors helped the category rebound last year. According to Mintel’s forecasts, sales of NOPC at FDMx outlets and natural supermarkets were expected to rise 6.5% to $492.2 million by the end of 2010. SKU Slowdown?
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