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Sales will increase nearly 6% this year, but there are signs that volume growth is not as robust.
December 1, 2023
By: Imogen Matthews
Owner
The European fragrance market has shown strong steady growth in 2023 and is proving resilient at a time that many consumers are becoming more cautious about purchasing higher priced items. The appeal of new fragrances seems never to go out of fashion as indicated by the steady stream of new launches, many in the second half of the year in the run up to the all-important holiday/Christmas period. The $20 billion European fragrance market is in good shape, according to Euromonitor International, and is expected to end the year up 5.6% on 2022. The bulk of sales are for premium men’s and women’s fragrances sold in Western Europe: premium women’s fragrances are valued at $8.3 billion, up 6.1% and premium men’s are worth $4.6 billion, up 5.4% in 2023. Comparative sales in Eastern Europe show lower growth, with the premium women’s category worth more than $1.1 billion, up 3.6% and premium men’s $548.3 million, up 3.0% year on year. Despite this optimistic picture, there are underlying trends at play which suggest that consumers are buying less and that volume growth is not as dynamic, said Magda Starula, consultant, Euromonitor International. “The essence is that we buy less but spend more,” she points out. “Consumers are obviously uncertain about tomorrow and they are trying to think of the best purchasing strategies.” These include online shopping, hunting for promotions and the best deals, as well as quick “ASAP” shopping—that is buying as soon as they see a satisfactory price in order to avoid future price increases. These changing purchasing behaviors are reflected in research conducted by GlobalData Plc, who report that more than a third (39%) of European consumers on average say they would continue to buy luxury or expensive beauty and grooming brands in the next three months, a sentiment that strengthens as income level increases. “Premium brands will face least difficulty maintaining the custom of high-income consumers who are the least impacted by inflation, but will grapple with the falling custom of lower-income consumers who are prioritizing essential spend,” explains Lia Neophytou, lead analyst of health and hygiene insights, Global Data.
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